Infrastructure projects: financing through local debt securities

 

By IMRAN MALIK
 

ARTICLE (April 05 2007): The President of Pakistan inaugurated on March 20, 2007 the Gwadar Port, which borders on Arabian Sea and lies in Balochistan, at about 533 km from Karachi. With this third deep-water port of the country, the government has realised the first key milestone of activating the most important tradecorridor connecting Central Asian States to the Arabian Sea.

A new era has started for the development of Balochistan as roads, railways, bridges, etc and lot of other infrastructure in due course would be built for facilitating trade.

The government has also been taking measures for facilitating early financing and building of important infrastructure projects in various other areas of the country with a view to reduce cost of doing business and enhancing our competitiveness in the world trade.

One such measure is the establishment of the Infrastructure Project Financing Facility (IPFF), which with an authorised capital of $1.0 billion, would help catalyse long term debt financing for infrastructure through public-private partnership (PPP). It is felt that the IPFF shall help mobilise local debt securities on the domestic capitals markets as the Foreign Direct Investment and loans from the international financing institutions (IFIs) alone would not be able to fully finance the cost of immediately needed infrastructure projects.

Due to the reasons discussed below, the debt securities-denominated in Pak Rupees as well as US Dollars- with tenures up to 15-20 years, issued and traded on the domestic capital markets would be playing a much bigger role in the coming years in the financing of mega infrastructure projects.

Despite efforts of the government for faster economic development, the country is presently confronted with daunting circumstances. some of which include: (i) Lack of institutional capability for financing infrastructure projects; (ii) High trade deficit; (iii) High outflow of foreign exchange associated with higher FDI inflows; (iii) Looming energy shortages in the coming years; (iv) Lack of financial products or productive investment avenues for remittances by the Pakistani Expatriates; and (v) Debt servicing burden and creditors harsh conditionalities.

These factors are elaborated in the following paragraphs. Capabilities for handling Infrastructure Projects: Mega infrastructure projects are highly capital-intensive and are normally built with intensive technical, legal and financial help from multilateral financial institution and international engineering, procurement and construction firms, reputed for their expertise. Local capabilities for handling and financing of infrastructure projects, such as ports, motorway, airports, river bridges, coal-based power plants, etc are limited.

In addition to national projects, a number of regional projects, such as gas/oil pipelines, power transmission lines, motorways, etc are also under consideration.

Besides techno-economic issues, these regional projects have geo-political and international legal ramifications. The financing of all such projects and handling of the allied activities would be a big challenge for the IPFF, even though it would be technically supported by the ADB.

TRADE DEFICIT:

 The country experienced trade deficit of about US $12 billion during the last year. The current year does not promise big cut in the trade deficit from the previous year. To cover the coming trade deficit without digging into its own reserves, the country might be obliged to undertake a combination of measures such as diversion of the foreign exchange remitted by the Pakistani expatriates, Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) received from investors, privatisation proceeds of public sector enterprises or loans raised from friendly governments or institutions. This may not leave much for the financing of infrastructure projects.

FDI AND ASSOCIATED OUTFLOW OF FOREIGN EXCHANGE: Foreign Direct Investment is a blessing but only up to a limit. The country received FDI of $3.5 billion during 2005-06 and is expected to receive substantially larger investment during 2006-07. However, like interest on foreign loans, profit on FDI is required to be remitted abroad every year. The profit so remitted every year is a substantial proportion of the annual FDI inflow. Outflow of foreign exchange on account of profit for 2006-07 is estimated to be much higher as it would also include profit remittances on new FDI projects as well as profits from recently privatised public sector projects.

IMPENDING ENERGY SHORTAGE: Pakistan is expecting serious load-shedding this summer. To avoid such a situation, the country appears to be going all out to get new power generation capacity installed, even based at high tariff or exorbitant rent. According to one estimate, Pakistan will require an investment of over $20 billion by 2010-20 13 for the planned mega power projects and for the existing system's improvement.

New natural gas discoveries are made but these are rather small and the existing gas reservoirs are depleting fast. The country will have to find and finance large imports of gas to continue feeding existing industries and power generation. The situation is also getting aggravated due to bringing on road of tens of thousands of vehicles, particularly motor cars every month. The consumption related import bill is increasing fast.

FOREIGN EXCHANGE REMITTANCES AND SAVINGS: The country is presently flush with liquidity due largely to foreign remittances by the Pakistan expatriates. So far the financial sector has not introduced worthwhile financial products to attract these funds and use for financing capital expenditure. There are no suitable avenues for profitable investment except real estate or bank deposits. The depositors feel that they are not equitably compensated by the institutions mobilising domestic savings.

Easy liquidity could possibly be used for financing of important infrastructure projects. Moreover, it would to a large extent obviate issuance of Eurobonds or fresh foreign borrowings from costly sources or institutions for implementation of large infrastructure projects.

DEBT SERVICING BURDEN AND LOAN CONDITIONALITIES: The infrastructure projects should normally be financed through our own resources. In practice, the resources allocated from annual budgets are small and major cost has been financed through loans from IFIs, Suppliers Credits and occasionally by issue of bonds abroad. Sometimes, loans are availed from foreign commercial banks at considerably high cost. Often procurement of goods and services is tied to the countries proving the loan funds. Such procurement is invariably at higher cost.

The creditors sometime impose harsh conditionalities in addition to the usual loan terms. The nation is obliged to suffer embarrassment.

CONCLUSION: The factors briefly discussed above establish that the traditional sources of finance for financing infrastructure projects might not be easily available in sufficient amounts for Pakistan to implement important projects on timely basis. In such a scenario, the country, while cautiously working with IFIs and foreign investors, might look to its people and mobilise their savings for financing major chunk of the foreign and local cost of essential infrastructure projects. Moreover, there is a limit to what can be safely borrowed and serviced along with interest on timely basis.

Similarly, FDI has many benefits but involves repatriation of huge profits in foreign currency for considerably long periods. The authorities might consider reviewing the whole funding situation in the light of our prevailing circumstances and draw suitable plans for greater reliance on local savings.

SUGGESTED ACTION PLAN THE FOLLOWING ACTIONS ARE SUGGESTED FOR CONSIDERATION:

(a) The Ministry of Finance, the State Bank of Pakistan and the Securities & Exchange Commission of Pakistan together can play a big role in the issuance of longer term debt securities on domestic capital markets for the financing of major chunk of capital costs of high priority mega infrastructure projects.

Financial sector, including commercial banks and the domestic capital markets also have critical role in promoting the successful issuance and market making of the debt securities. The country has to build on the past experience relating to GOP, Wapda, CAA and PIA Bonds successfully issued in the past as well as the TFCs issued both by public and private sector.

(b) Various Ministries, Departments, Public Sector Entities, City Governments and private corporate sector might be encouraged to consider issuing debt securities to finance large infrastructure projects while maintaining sound financial position and debt servicing capabilities. Designing of different debt securities- in Pak Rupees or US Dollars, etc with tenures ranging from 15 to 20 years may be taken in hand for the raising of sufficient funds for infrastructure projects.

Depending upon the priorities of different sectors, the government might decide on tax incentives and other support to the issuers as well as the investors.

(c) The SBP has issued guidelines to the banks and DFIs for the financing of infrastructure projects. The banks and DFIs would be able to handle this activity in due course provided they take appropriate measures, including hiring and continually training of competent people. The progress made so far might be assessed and they might be taken on board for the issue of infrastructure bonds.

The Long Term Credit Fund (LTCF) currently with the National Bank of Pakistan was originally set up by the Government for financing private sector energy and energy related infrastructure projects. LTCF has certain expertise and systems in place and might be able to supplement IPFF operations.

(d) It is expected that IPFF and any other such organisation would be established on sound lines. Even with ADB help, it will require concerted efforts to develop a team of professionals who have sufficient expertise and capability to appraise infrastructure projects in diverse sectors, arrange or participate in their funding, negotiate and execute funding agreements and monitor procurement, physical progress and operation of such projects until final repayment of loans.

(e) Public-Private Participation (PPP) has promise for financing, executing and operation of infrastructure schemes such as ports, bridges, toll roads, airports, etc provided all PPP deals are made in a transparent manner for mutual benefit and the tariffs are reasonable. There is, however, big potential of disputes on a number of cost / benefit sharing issues.

When disputes crop up, incomplete projects are left to rot for a number of years until the disputes are resolved satisfactorily through costly process of arbitration. The federal and the provincial governments are urged to review / enact laws, rules and regulations for facilitating the formation and functioning of PPP for infrastructure development, financing, execution and operation.

(The writer is President/CEO of First Credit and Investment Bank Limited.  The article represents his personal views)

 

Copyright Business Recorder, 2007